National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today, propelled by a persistent ridge of high pressure fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds drawing in Gulf moisture, aligning with trader consensus pricing 86°F or higher at 98.8% implied probability. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show tight agreement on ample daytime heating despite mostly cloudy skies, building on recent days' pattern of mid-80s to low-90s highs amid clear climatological norms for mid-May around 86°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening low-level clouds from morning stratus or a weak disturbance disrupting the ridge, potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, though current observations of 70°F lows and low precipitation odds minimize such risks; hourly ASOS data will track progress toward evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 98.8%
84-85°F 1.2%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,553 ปริมาณ
$37,553 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
99%
86°F or higher 98.8%
84-85°F 1.2%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,553 ปริมาณ
$37,553 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
76-77°F
$1,718 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$1,238 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$2,973 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,189 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$2,055 ปริมาณ
1%
86°F or higher
$3,280 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today, propelled by a persistent ridge of high pressure fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds drawing in Gulf moisture, aligning with trader consensus pricing 86°F or higher at 98.8% implied probability. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show tight agreement on ample daytime heating despite mostly cloudy skies, building on recent days' pattern of mid-80s to low-90s highs amid clear climatological norms for mid-May around 86°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening low-level clouds from morning stratus or a weak disturbance disrupting the ridge, potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, though current observations of 70°F lows and low precipitation odds minimize such risks; hourly ASOS data will track progress toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,553วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today, propelled by a persistent ridge of high pressure fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds drawing in Gulf moisture, aligning with trader consensus pricing 86°F or higher at 98.8% implied probability. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show tight agreement on ample daytime heating despite mostly cloudy skies, building on recent days' pattern of mid-80s to low-90s highs amid clear climatological norms for mid-May around 86°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening low-level clouds from morning stratus or a weak disturbance disrupting the ridge, potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, though current observations of 70°F lows and low precipitation odds minimize such risks; hourly ASOS data will track progress toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,553วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport today, propelled by a persistent ridge of high pressure fostering subsidence warming and south-southeasterly winds drawing in Gulf moisture, aligning with trader consensus pricing 86°F or higher at 98.8% implied probability. Model ensembles from NOAA and European centers show tight agreement on ample daytime heating despite mostly cloudy skies, building on recent days' pattern of mid-80s to low-90s highs amid clear climatological norms for mid-May around 86°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening low-level clouds from morning stratus or a weak disturbance disrupting the ridge, potentially capping peaks at 84-85°F, though current observations of 70°F lows and low precipitation odds minimize such risks; hourly ASOS data will track progress toward evening resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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