Recent data releases, including May CPI and nonfarm payrolls, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance at the Federal Reserve, supporting the 74% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The prior April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the most since 1992—primarily over language signaling an easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, driven by tariff effects and geopolitical pressures. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures markets pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 rate cuts, the scope for further divisions has narrowed. The 15% odds on exactly one dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower probabilities for two or more align with expected committee convergence ahead of the next policy statement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 7%
$19,356 ปริมาณ
$19,356 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
0
74%
1
16%
2
7%
3
7%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 7%
$19,356 ปริมาณ
$19,356 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
0
$12,789 ปริมาณ
74%
1
$372 ปริมาณ
16%
2
$155 ปริมาณ
7%
3
$856 ปริมาณ
7%
4+
$5,184 ปริมาณ
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent data releases, including May CPI and nonfarm payrolls, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance at the Federal Reserve, supporting the 74% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The prior April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the most since 1992—primarily over language signaling an easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, driven by tariff effects and geopolitical pressures. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures markets pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 rate cuts, the scope for further divisions has narrowed. The 15% odds on exactly one dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower probabilities for two or more align with expected committee convergence ahead of the next policy statement.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,356วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent data releases, including May CPI and nonfarm payrolls, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance at the Federal Reserve, supporting the 74% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The prior April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the most since 1992—primarily over language signaling an easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, driven by tariff effects and geopolitical pressures. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures markets pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 rate cuts, the scope for further divisions has narrowed. The 15% odds on exactly one dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower probabilities for two or more align with expected committee convergence ahead of the next policy statement.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,356วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases, including May CPI and nonfarm payrolls, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance at the Federal Reserve, supporting the 74% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The prior April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the most since 1992—primarily over language signaling an easing bias amid inflation remaining above the 2% target, driven by tariff effects and geopolitical pressures. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures markets pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 rate cuts, the scope for further divisions has narrowed. The 15% odds on exactly one dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower probabilities for two or more align with expected committee convergence ahead of the next policy statement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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