Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
$1,543,294 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
7%
$1,543,294 ปริมาณ
May 31
$1,237,290 ปริมาณ
1%
June 30
$230,998 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,543,294วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,543,294วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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