Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 14, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling while daytime maxima remain near seasonal norms. This consensus aligns with historical mid-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically range 11–14°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current surface observations show no incoming cold advection or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Trader positioning at 99.2% for 13°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as small deviations in urban heat-island effects or station-specific siting rarely shift the recorded daily low outside the 12–14°C window. A sudden marine air intrusion or revised post-midnight observation could still push the outcome to 12°C or 14°C, though both remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
14°C <1%
11°C <1%
$20,033 ปริมาณ
$20,033 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
14°C <1%
11°C <1%
$20,033 ปริมาณ
$20,033 ปริมาณ
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in London on June 14, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing nocturnal cooling while daytime maxima remain near seasonal norms. This consensus aligns with historical mid-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows typically range 11–14°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current surface observations show no incoming cold advection or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling rates. Trader positioning at 99.2% for 13°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as small deviations in urban heat-island effects or station-specific siting rarely shift the recorded daily low outside the 12–14°C window. A sudden marine air intrusion or revised post-midnight observation could still push the outcome to 12°C or 14°C, though both remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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