Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArthur Henrique 90%
Farah Mesquita 3.6%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Rosi Aires 3.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
90%
Farah Mesquita
4%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Rosi Aires
3%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 90%
Farah Mesquita 3.6%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Rosi Aires 3.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$2,927 ปริมาณ
90%
Farah Mesquita
$153 ปริมาณ
4%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 ปริมาณ
3%
Rosi Aires
$222 ปริมาณ
3%
Clébio Genuíno
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,766วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,766วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique holds a dominant position in the Roraima governor race, driven by his 60.87% victory in the June 2026 special election, where he secured an absolute majority and outperformed Soldado Sampaio. This outcome, combined with his Liberal Party (PL) backing and prior incumbency signals, shapes trader consensus ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote and possible runoff. A pending Supreme Court eligibility ruling tied to his candidacy filing timeline creates residual uncertainty, yet it has not shifted implied probabilities. Other contenders, including Soldado Sampaio, Farah Mesquita, and Rosi Aires, trail significantly with limited recent momentum in conventions or polling. Scheduled party alignments and voter turnout patterns in the northern state further reinforce the frontrunner dynamic reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย