Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflected in the 91% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him leading first-round estimates at 40-45% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28-37%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) and smaller candidates trailing further; some surveys indicate a narrow or technical edge for Mitidieri in a potential runoff. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, established party alliances, and campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir’s support draws from prior local executive experience and party backing but has not closed the gap consistently in the latest data. Shifts could arise from undecided voters consolidating late, stronger-than-expected showings by minor candidates fragmenting the field, or unforeseen campaign developments altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFábio 91%
Valmir de Francisquinho 10%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$18,797 ปริมาณ
$18,797 ปริมาณ
Fábio
91%
Valmir de Francisquinho
10%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 91%
Valmir de Francisquinho 10%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$18,797 ปริมาณ
$18,797 ปริมาณ
Fábio
91%
Valmir de Francisquinho
10%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflected in the 91% implied probability. Recent polling from late August and early September shows him leading first-round estimates at 40-45% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28-37%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) and smaller candidates trailing further; some surveys indicate a narrow or technical edge for Mitidieri in a potential runoff. His advantage stems from incumbency resources, established party alliances, and campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Valmir’s support draws from prior local executive experience and party backing but has not closed the gap consistently in the latest data. Shifts could arise from undecided voters consolidating late, stronger-than-expected showings by minor candidates fragmenting the field, or unforeseen campaign developments altering turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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