Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an approximately 79% implied probability as Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 vote. She took a leave from her role as municipal president of Manzanillo in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination and has since consolidated support in internal coalition surveys and processes through mid-2026. This positioning aligns with Morena’s established strength in Colima, where coalition-backed candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles. Lower probabilities for figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mario Delgado Carrillo, and Margarita Moreno González correspond to their more limited visibility or alignment with the dominant coalition at this stage. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition realignments, or polling trends have altered this dynamic in the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%
Margarita Moreno González 6%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.6%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
79%

Margarita Moreno González
6%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
6%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
6%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
2%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
2%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

José Israel González
1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
1%

María Cristina Lupien
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Mely Romero Celis
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%
Margarita Moreno González 6%
Mario Delgado Carrillo 6%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 5.6%

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
79%

Margarita Moreno González
6%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
6%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
6%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
2%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
2%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
1%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

José Israel González
1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
1%

María Cristina Lupien
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Mely Romero Celis
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an approximately 79% implied probability as Colima governor election winner, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination ahead of the June 2027 vote. She took a leave from her role as municipal president of Manzanillo in June 2026 to pursue the state nomination and has since consolidated support in internal coalition surveys and processes through mid-2026. This positioning aligns with Morena’s established strength in Colima, where coalition-backed candidates have performed strongly in recent cycles. Lower probabilities for figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, Mario Delgado Carrillo, and Margarita Moreno González correspond to their more limited visibility or alignment with the dominant coalition at this stage. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition realignments, or polling trends have altered this dynamic in the past month.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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