National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
BAGO
$45,732 Vol.
BAGO
$45,732 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.6%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
BAGO
$45,732 Vol.
BAGO
$45,732 Vol.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$16,960 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,160 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,873 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,461 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$5,742 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$45,732Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,732Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project Denver's highest temperature on May 15 at around 85°F under mostly sunny skies, driving the market-implied 99.6% probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud interference. Today's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75–78°F—bolsters this consensus, with observational data from Denver International Airport reinforcing model guidance. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance could temper highs to the low 70s, though current runs show low likelihood; monitor evening NWS updates for refinements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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