National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Vol.
$184,814 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$184,814 Vol.
$184,814 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
National Weather Service surface observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum temperature of 76–77°F for New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Model guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM converged on modest southerly flow and limited mixing under partly sunny skies, keeping peak heating well below the May climatological average of 72–75°F. This outcome reflects verified thermometer readings rather than forecasts, with resolution criteria tied directly to the highest hourly value at the designated stations. Only an undocumented station calibration error or post-event data revision could alter the result at this stage.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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