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Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Halalan·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 80%

Christine Fréchette 17.5%

Charles Milliard 3.1%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$325,444 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 80%

Christine Fréchette 17.5%

Charles Milliard 3.1%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$325,444 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$22,793 Vol.

80%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$79,758 Vol.

18%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$20,392 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,934 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds a dominant position in trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting the Parti Québécois’ sustained lead in most recent polls despite a tightening race. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ leader who assumed office in April 2026, draws support from her party’s incumbency advantage and recent debate exchanges but faces headwinds from voter scrutiny of prior government spending and economic management. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller-party leaders trail significantly. Key recent factors include Plamondon’s firm commitment to a post-2028 sovereignty referendum, costing estimates around $130 million, and voter reactions to U.S. tariff pressures, which have kept the PQ’s platform prominent while underscoring the close contest between the two main contenders.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$325,444
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon holds a dominant position in trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting the Parti Québécois’ sustained lead in most recent polls despite a tightening race. Christine Fréchette, the incumbent CAQ leader who assumed office in April 2026, draws support from her party’s incumbency advantage and recent debate exchanges but faces headwinds from voter scrutiny of prior government spending and economic management. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller-party leaders trail significantly. Key recent factors include Plamondon’s firm commitment to a post-2028 sovereignty referendum, costing estimates around $130 million, and voter reactions to U.S. tariff pressures, which have kept the PQ’s platform prominent while underscoring the close contest between the two main contenders.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$325,444
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Mananalo ba ang Parti Québécois ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalang pangkalahatan ng Quebec sa 2026?

Mananalo ba ang Parti Québécois ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalang pangkalahatan ng Quebec sa 2026?

88%
Oo
icon for Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

43%
icon for Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

37%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Premier of Quebec" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Christine Fréchette" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Premier of Quebec" ay naka-generate ng $325.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Premier of Quebec," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Premier of Quebec" ay "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Christine Fréchette" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Premier of Quebec" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.