In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carol 25%
Afrânio Boppré 22%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 22%
Esperidião Amin 21%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Carol
25%
Afrânio Boppré
22%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
22%
Esperidião Amin
21%
Marcos Dorval
21%
Marlene Soccas
21%
Carol de Toni
20%
Jeferson da Rocha
19%
Joaninha de Oliveira
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
18%
Carlos Bolsonaro
14%
Lunelli
13%
Décio Lima
11%
Carol 25%
Afrânio Boppré 22%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 22%
Esperidião Amin 21%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Carol
$21 Vol.
25%
Afrânio Boppré
$21 Vol.
22%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$21 Vol.
22%
Esperidião Amin
$21 Vol.
21%
Marcos Dorval
$21 Vol.
21%
Marlene Soccas
$21 Vol.
21%
Carol de Toni
$21 Vol.
20%
Jeferson da Rocha
$21 Vol.
19%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$21 Vol.
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$21 Vol.
18%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$42 Vol.
14%
Lunelli
$42 Vol.
13%
Décio Lima
$42 Vol.
11%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$336Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$336Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina’s October 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader sentiment for second place remains tightly balanced because recent polling and candidate conventions show a fragmented field where no single non-PL contender has consolidated support. Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement of PL candidates Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro has positioned that party for the top spots in July surveys, yet Antídio Lunelli, Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, Afrânio Boppré, and several others continue to register measurable but sub-30% shares that keep second-place probabilities near parity. With eight weeks until the vote and high undecided levels in state surveys, shifts in turnout among southern conservative and center-left voters or late party alignments could separate the pack before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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