In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carol de Toni 45%
Marcos Dorval 45%
Esperidião Amin 42%
Décio Lima 42%

Carol de Toni
45%

Marcos Dorval
45%

Esperidião Amin
42%

Décio Lima
42%

Lunelli
41%

Marlene Soccas
35%

Carol
28%

Jeferson da Rocha
27%

Joaninha de Oliveira
26%

Carlos Bolsonaro
26%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
26%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
25%

Afrânio Boppré
14%
Carol de Toni 45%
Marcos Dorval 45%
Esperidião Amin 42%
Décio Lima 42%

Carol de Toni
45%

Marcos Dorval
45%

Esperidião Amin
42%

Décio Lima
42%

Lunelli
41%

Marlene Soccas
35%

Carol
28%

Jeferson da Rocha
27%

Joaninha de Oliveira
26%

Carlos Bolsonaro
26%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
26%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
25%

Afrânio Boppré
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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