Recent July 2026 CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, aligning with forecasts and contributing to a 3.4% annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a modest rebound for August around 0.35% headline, supported by stable shelter costs and moderating energy declines, while broader forecasts anticipate 0.2–0.3% monthly gains amid cooling labor trends. With Polymarket assigning 42% implied probability to 0.4% and 33% to 0.3%, traders reflect uncertainty over the exact pace of reacceleration versus persistence of July’s softness. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and any shifts in commodity prices or Fed communications that could influence near-term inflation expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.4% 42%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
42%
≥0.5%
12%
0.4% 42%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
42%
≥0.5%
12%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month headline increase and 0.2% core rise, aligning with forecasts and contributing to a 3.4% annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a modest rebound for August around 0.35% headline, supported by stable shelter costs and moderating energy declines, while broader forecasts anticipate 0.2–0.3% monthly gains amid cooling labor trends. With Polymarket assigning 42% implied probability to 0.4% and 33% to 0.3%, traders reflect uncertainty over the exact pace of reacceleration versus persistence of July’s softness. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 11 CPI release and any shifts in commodity prices or Fed communications that could influence near-term inflation expectations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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