Romeu Zema of the Novo party and Renan Santos of the Mission party remain closely matched for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote because both draw modest but comparable support from distinct right-leaning and anti-establishment constituencies across key states. Recent April 2026 AtlasIntel polling placed Santos slightly ahead at around 5 percent nationally while Zema and Ronaldo Caiado hovered near 3 percent each, reflecting limited overall first-round backing outside the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Caiado’s March PSD nomination and prior resignations by sitting governors including Zema and himself have consolidated some regional backing yet left the outcome sensitive to how undecided voters and smaller candidacies ultimately split. Trader pricing captures this volatility ahead of summer polling and campaign events that could widen or narrow the gaps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRomeu Zema 32%
Renan Santos 31%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.4%
$281,596 Обс.
$281,596 Обс.

Romeu Zema
32%

Renan Santos
31%

Ronaldo Caiado
19%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Romeu Zema 32%
Renan Santos 31%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.4%
$281,596 Обс.
$281,596 Обс.

Romeu Zema
32%

Renan Santos
31%

Ronaldo Caiado
19%

Michelle Bolsonaro
5%

Fernando Haddad
4%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Helder Barbalho
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
1%

Geraldo Alckmin
1%

Eduardo Leite
1%

Tereza Cristina
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Romeu Zema of the Novo party and Renan Santos of the Mission party remain closely matched for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote because both draw modest but comparable support from distinct right-leaning and anti-establishment constituencies across key states. Recent April 2026 AtlasIntel polling placed Santos slightly ahead at around 5 percent nationally while Zema and Ronaldo Caiado hovered near 3 percent each, reflecting limited overall first-round backing outside the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Caiado’s March PSD nomination and prior resignations by sitting governors including Zema and himself have consolidated some regional backing yet left the outcome sensitive to how undecided voters and smaller candidacies ultimately split. Trader pricing captures this volatility ahead of summer polling and campaign events that could widen or narrow the gaps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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