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Політика·первинні вибори

CA-22 Primary Winners

icon for CA-22 Primary Winners
Політика·первинні вибори

CA-22 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$1,847 Обс.

Polymarket

David Valadao

$417 Обс.

98%

Randy Villegas

$473 Обс.

59%

Jasmeet Bains

$78 Обс.

46%

Chris Mathys

$544 Обс.

5%

Rudy Salas

$335 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$1,847
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$1,847
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-22 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «David Valadao» з 98%, далі «Randy Villegas» з 59%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-22 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Dec 11, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-22 Primary Winners», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-22 Primary Winners» — «David Valadao» з 98%. Наступний — «Randy Villegas» з 59%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-22 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.