The partisan makeup of California's 32nd congressional district, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+14 and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, drives the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman maintains a commanding primary position ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two contest, benefiting from established fundraising, name recognition, and minimal credible Republican opposition in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Only an unexpected primary upset, major late scandal, or court-ordered redistricting shift would realistically alter the current odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
$13,451 Обс.
$13,451 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$13,451 Обс.
$13,451 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,831 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$7,620 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The partisan makeup of California's 32nd congressional district, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+14 and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, drives the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman maintains a commanding primary position ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two contest, benefiting from established fundraising, name recognition, and minimal credible Republican opposition in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Only an unexpected primary upset, major late scandal, or court-ordered redistricting shift would realistically alter the current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,451Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The partisan makeup of California's 32nd congressional district, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+14 and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, drives the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman maintains a commanding primary position ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two contest, benefiting from established fundraising, name recognition, and minimal credible Republican opposition in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Only an unexpected primary upset, major late scandal, or court-ordered redistricting shift would realistically alter the current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,451Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The partisan makeup of California's 32nd congressional district, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+14 and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, drives the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman maintains a commanding primary position ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two contest, benefiting from established fundraising, name recognition, and minimal credible Republican opposition in a district that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Only an unexpected primary upset, major late scandal, or court-ordered redistricting shift would realistically alter the current odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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