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CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

John Larson 22%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%

Ruth Fortune 4.2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

John Larson 22%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%

Ruth Fortune 4.2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

John Larson

$766 Обс.

36%

Jillian Gilchrest

$2,014 Обс.

4%

Ruth Fortune

$907 Обс.

4%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,631 Обс.

1%

Luke Bronin

$4,008 Обс.

40%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent developments in Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary center on the May convention, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over 28-year incumbent John Larson by a narrow 214-204 delegate margin. This outcome, the first time an incumbent has faced such a challenge in modern state history, has driven trader consensus toward Bronin at 54.5 percent amid perceptions of generational turnover and stronger fundraising. Larson remains viable at 35.5 percent due to his long tenure and established base, while State Representative Jillian Gilchrest holds 4.4 percent after qualifying for the August ballot. The three-way contest leaves room for shifts based on voter turnout and campaign momentum ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$9,326
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent developments in Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary center on the May convention, where former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the party endorsement over 28-year incumbent John Larson by a narrow 214-204 delegate margin. This outcome, the first time an incumbent has faced such a challenge in modern state history, has driven trader consensus toward Bronin at 54.5 percent amid perceptions of generational turnover and stronger fundraising. Larson remains viable at 35.5 percent due to his long tenure and established base, while State Representative Jillian Gilchrest holds 4.4 percent after qualifying for the August ballot. The three-way contest leaves room for shifts based on voter turnout and campaign momentum ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$9,326
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Luke Bronin» з 40%, далі «John Larson» з 36%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Feb 26, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Luke Bronin» з 40%. Наступний — «John Larson» з 36%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.