Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's June 16 maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, directly supporting the market's near-even split between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (40.5%). Diurnal warming will be driven by strong June insolation on the Anatolian plateau, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating; small differences hinge on the precise timing of any afternoon convective buildup or subtle warm-air advection. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and latest ECMWF/GFS runs show limited spread, keeping higher outcomes (30°C+) at low implied probability while underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 41%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
30°C 4.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
41%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
30°C 4.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$336 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$89 Обс.
1%
25°C
$88 Обс.
1%
26°C
$856 Обс.
3%
27°C
$50 Обс.
15%
28°C
$87 Обс.
36%
29°C
$80 Обс.
41%
30°C
$66 Обс.
4%
31°C
$42 Обс.
3%
32°C
$67 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's June 16 maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, directly supporting the market's near-even split between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (40.5%). Diurnal warming will be driven by strong June insolation on the Anatolian plateau, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating; small differences hinge on the precise timing of any afternoon convective buildup or subtle warm-air advection. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and latest ECMWF/GFS runs show limited spread, keeping higher outcomes (30°C+) at low implied probability while underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,771Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's June 16 maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, directly supporting the market's near-even split between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (40.5%). Diurnal warming will be driven by strong June insolation on the Anatolian plateau, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating; small differences hinge on the precise timing of any afternoon convective buildup or subtle warm-air advection. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and latest ECMWF/GFS runs show limited spread, keeping higher outcomes (30°C+) at low implied probability while underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,771Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Ankara's June 16 maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, directly supporting the market's near-even split between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (40.5%). Diurnal warming will be driven by strong June insolation on the Anatolian plateau, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating; small differences hinge on the precise timing of any afternoon convective buildup or subtle warm-air advection. Official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and latest ECMWF/GFS runs show limited spread, keeping higher outcomes (30°C+) at low implied probability while underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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