Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth on August 5, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 101–102°F amid light south winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the broader early-August pattern of above-average heat and humidity. Recent observations from August 4 showed similar readings around 101°F, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited variability, with only modest afternoon mixing or slight steering shifts likely to nudge outcomes toward the 98–99°F (28.5%) or 102–103°F (18.5%) ranges; probabilities drop sharply outside these thresholds given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of frontal boundaries or precipitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 2%
$20,574 Обс.
$20,574 Обс.
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 2%
$20,574 Обс.
$20,574 Обс.
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth on August 5, 2026, call for sunny and hot conditions with a high near 101–102°F amid light south winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the broader early-August pattern of above-average heat and humidity. Recent observations from August 4 showed similar readings around 101°F, supporting trader emphasis on the 100–101°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited variability, with only modest afternoon mixing or slight steering shifts likely to nudge outcomes toward the 98–99°F (28.5%) or 102–103°F (18.5%) ranges; probabilities drop sharply outside these thresholds given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of frontal boundaries or precipitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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