Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models project a daily maximum near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 5, 2026, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Recent observations show stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, limiting both daytime heating and overnight cooling. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, keeping temperatures within the narrow range favored by traders. The 21°C outcome leads at 56.5% implied probability because it matches the ensemble mean, while 22°C (31%) reflects slight upside potential from model spread; lower outcomes like 20°C (12%) would require unexpected cloud buildup. Updated FMI guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 5?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 5?
21°C 58%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C 3%
$17,151 Обс.
$17,151 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
9%
21°C
58%
22°C
33%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 58%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C 3%
$17,151 Обс.
$17,151 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
17°C or below
$1,694 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,138 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$2,791 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,288 Обс.
9%
21°C
$2,739 Обс.
58%
22°C
$3,617 Обс.
33%
23°C
$2,921 Обс.
3%
24°C
$569 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$530 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$897 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$889 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models project a daily maximum near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 5, 2026, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Recent observations show stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, limiting both daytime heating and overnight cooling. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, keeping temperatures within the narrow range favored by traders. The 21°C outcome leads at 56.5% implied probability because it matches the ensemble mean, while 22°C (31%) reflects slight upside potential from model spread; lower outcomes like 20°C (12%) would require unexpected cloud buildup. Updated FMI guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,151Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models project a daily maximum near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 5, 2026, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Recent observations show stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, limiting both daytime heating and overnight cooling. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, keeping temperatures within the narrow range favored by traders. The 21°C outcome leads at 56.5% implied probability because it matches the ensemble mean, while 22°C (31%) reflects slight upside potential from model spread; lower outcomes like 20°C (12%) would require unexpected cloud buildup. Updated FMI guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,151Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models project a daily maximum near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 5, 2026, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Recent observations show stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, limiting both daytime heating and overnight cooling. No significant warm or cold advection is expected, keeping temperatures within the narrow range favored by traders. The 21°C outcome leads at 56.5% implied probability because it matches the ensemble mean, while 22°C (31%) reflects slight upside potential from model spread; lower outcomes like 20°C (12%) would require unexpected cloud buildup. Updated FMI guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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