Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,423 Обс.
$292,423 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,423 Обс.
$292,423 Обс.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Обс.
100%
28°C
$45,395 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,841 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$292,423Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$292,423Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, the region typically experiences transitional subtropical conditions under high pressure from the South China Sea, with average highs climbing toward 29–31°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens; the observed 27°C aligns closely with historical station records for this date. Traders rely on this verified data rather than models, which show minimal divergence once observations are finalized. Realistic challenges would require post-event revisions to official readings or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though such adjustments remain exceedingly rare for Hong Kong Observatory data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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