Official meteorological records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16 under stable high-pressure influence and moderate southerly flow that prevented significant warming. This value aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range 26–28°C, and no heatwave or anomalous advection occurred to push temperatures higher. With the observation period closed, market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C reflect verified data rather than forecasts, though minor post-processing adjustments in official reporting could theoretically alter final settlement if data quality flags arise.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Обс.
$302,787 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Обс.
$302,787 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$77,348 Обс.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16 under stable high-pressure influence and moderate southerly flow that prevented significant warming. This value aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range 26–28°C, and no heatwave or anomalous advection occurred to push temperatures higher. With the observation period closed, market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C reflect verified data rather than forecasts, though minor post-processing adjustments in official reporting could theoretically alter final settlement if data quality flags arise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$302,787Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16 under stable high-pressure influence and moderate southerly flow that prevented significant warming. This value aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range 26–28°C, and no heatwave or anomalous advection occurred to push temperatures higher. With the observation period closed, market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C reflect verified data rather than forecasts, though minor post-processing adjustments in official reporting could theoretically alter final settlement if data quality flags arise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$302,787Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16 under stable high-pressure influence and moderate southerly flow that prevented significant warming. This value aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range 26–28°C, and no heatwave or anomalous advection occurred to push temperatures higher. With the observation period closed, market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C reflect verified data rather than forecasts, though minor post-processing adjustments in official reporting could theoretically alter final settlement if data quality flags arise.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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