Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,935 Обс.
$303,935 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,935 Обс.
$303,935 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,114 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$77,404 Обс.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$25,280 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$303,935Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$303,935Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C maximum temperature for Hong Kong on May 16 because official observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions that limited daytime heating. May climatology typically features average highs near 27–28°C, yet this day remained cooler due to increased cloud cover and a weak easterly flow that suppressed convective activity. Recent model runs from global ensembles showed minimal deviation from observed readings, with no evidence of localized heat pockets or urban heat-island amplification pushing values higher. Resolution now hinges on the final verified station data, though only an unexpected post-analysis revision would alter the current market-implied outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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