The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading of 25°C for May 16, placing this outcome at near-certainty. This value aligns with mid-May climatology, when daytime highs typically range 26–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow. Recent model guidance from the Observatory’s numerical weather prediction system had converged on this figure after a brief period of onshore moisture limited daytime warming. While sensor calibration or micro-climate variations at other stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C, such discrepancies are rare given the agency’s rigorous quality-control protocols. No further data releases are expected, confirming resolution at the 25°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Обс.
$303,885 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Обс.
$303,885 Обс.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Обс.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading of 25°C for May 16, placing this outcome at near-certainty. This value aligns with mid-May climatology, when daytime highs typically range 26–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow. Recent model guidance from the Observatory’s numerical weather prediction system had converged on this figure after a brief period of onshore moisture limited daytime warming. While sensor calibration or micro-climate variations at other stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C, such discrepancies are rare given the agency’s rigorous quality-control protocols. No further data releases are expected, confirming resolution at the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$303,885Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading of 25°C for May 16, placing this outcome at near-certainty. This value aligns with mid-May climatology, when daytime highs typically range 26–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow. Recent model guidance from the Observatory’s numerical weather prediction system had converged on this figure after a brief period of onshore moisture limited daytime warming. While sensor calibration or micro-climate variations at other stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C, such discrepancies are rare given the agency’s rigorous quality-control protocols. No further data releases are expected, confirming resolution at the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$303,885Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official maximum temperature reading of 25°C for May 16, placing this outcome at near-certainty. This value aligns with mid-May climatology, when daytime highs typically range 26–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and southeasterly flow. Recent model guidance from the Observatory’s numerical weather prediction system had converged on this figure after a brief period of onshore moisture limited daytime warming. While sensor calibration or micro-climate variations at other stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C, such discrepancies are rare given the agency’s rigorous quality-control protocols. No further data releases are expected, confirming resolution at the 25°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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