Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$266,406 Обс.
$266,406 Обс.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$266,406 Обс.
$266,406 Обс.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$38,211 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$103,777 Обс.
100%
26°C
$55,474 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$24,349 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$12,547 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$266,406Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$266,406Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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