Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, supported by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering patterns during the early dry-season transition. Official observations at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, the resolution station, typically align with these guidance products when surface conditions remain consistent. Historical May climatology shows average highs between 31°C and 34°C, placing 32°C squarely within the expected range. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because fresh model runs show minimal divergence and no imminent shift in synoptic flow. A sudden increase in convective activity or revised boundary-layer moisture could still produce a 31°C or 33°C reading at the station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,299 Обс.
$74,299 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,299 Обс.
$74,299 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, supported by moderate humidity levels, limited afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering patterns during the early dry-season transition. Official observations at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, the resolution station, typically align with these guidance products when surface conditions remain consistent. Historical May climatology shows average highs between 31°C and 34°C, placing 32°C squarely within the expected range. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because fresh model runs show minimal divergence and no imminent shift in synoptic flow. A sudden increase in convective activity or revised boundary-layer moisture could still produce a 31°C or 33°C reading at the station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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