**Trader consensus on the Karachi temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 62% implied probability, driven by numerical weather model ensembles and ongoing monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea, and steady onshore sea breezes moderate surface heating, aligning with Karachi’s long-term August average maxima near 31–32°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts (BBC, AccuWeather) project a high around 32–33°C for August 5 amid patchy rain or drizzle potential, suppressing extremes above 34°C. Recent model runs reinforce this narrow range, with limited subsidence or clearing skies needed to shift probabilities toward 33°C (21.5%) or lower outcomes. Updated observations through the daily peak will refine resolution as resolution criteria focus on the official maximum reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
33°C 57%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.1%
$27,209 Обс.
$27,209 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
37%
33°C
57%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.1%
$27,209 Обс.
$27,209 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$383 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$583 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$592 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,842 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,120 Обс.
1%
32°C
$5,201 Обс.
37%
33°C
$6,681 Обс.
57%
34°C
$3,457 Обс.
5%
35°C
$4,286 Обс.
1%
36°C
$892 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,172 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Karachi temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 62% implied probability, driven by numerical weather model ensembles and ongoing monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea, and steady onshore sea breezes moderate surface heating, aligning with Karachi’s long-term August average maxima near 31–32°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts (BBC, AccuWeather) project a high around 32–33°C for August 5 amid patchy rain or drizzle potential, suppressing extremes above 34°C. Recent model runs reinforce this narrow range, with limited subsidence or clearing skies needed to shift probabilities toward 33°C (21.5%) or lower outcomes. Updated observations through the daily peak will refine resolution as resolution criteria focus on the official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,209Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Karachi temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 62% implied probability, driven by numerical weather model ensembles and ongoing monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea, and steady onshore sea breezes moderate surface heating, aligning with Karachi’s long-term August average maxima near 31–32°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts (BBC, AccuWeather) project a high around 32–33°C for August 5 amid patchy rain or drizzle potential, suppressing extremes above 34°C. Recent model runs reinforce this narrow range, with limited subsidence or clearing skies needed to shift probabilities toward 33°C (21.5%) or lower outcomes. Updated observations through the daily peak will refine resolution as resolution criteria focus on the official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,209Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Karachi temperature market centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 62% implied probability, driven by numerical weather model ensembles and ongoing monsoon conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the Arabian Sea, and steady onshore sea breezes moderate surface heating, aligning with Karachi’s long-term August average maxima near 31–32°C. Official guidance from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts (BBC, AccuWeather) project a high around 32–33°C for August 5 amid patchy rain or drizzle potential, suppressing extremes above 34°C. Recent model runs reinforce this narrow range, with limited subsidence or clearing skies needed to shift probabilities toward 33°C (21.5%) or lower outcomes. Updated observations through the daily peak will refine resolution as resolution criteria focus on the official maximum reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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