**Persistent monsoon conditions are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of August 30.** Active southwest monsoon flow is delivering widespread cloud cover, high humidity (often 75-90%), and scattered thundershowers or rain spells, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and numerical models (including GFS/ECMWF consensus) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 60%+ chance of rain or thunderstorms on the 30th, supporting daytime highs clustered around 30-32°C rather than the mid-30s seen on drier days earlier in August. Recent observations reinforce this pattern: maximum temperatures in the Lucknow region have ranged from 30-34°C in late August amid frequent showers, with normal August values near 31°C and elevated rainfall (above-average totals this month) further suppressing peaks. The market’s concentration on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C align with the expected balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression. Updated model runs or IMD briefings in the next 24-48 hours could shift odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
35%
32°C
26%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
6%
29°C
$0 Обс.
5%
30°C
$0 Обс.
18%
31°C
$0 Обс.
35%
32°C
$0 Обс.
26%
33°C or higher
$2 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of August 30.** Active southwest monsoon flow is delivering widespread cloud cover, high humidity (often 75-90%), and scattered thundershowers or rain spells, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and numerical models (including GFS/ECMWF consensus) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 60%+ chance of rain or thunderstorms on the 30th, supporting daytime highs clustered around 30-32°C rather than the mid-30s seen on drier days earlier in August.
Recent observations reinforce this pattern: maximum temperatures in the Lucknow region have ranged from 30-34°C in late August amid frequent showers, with normal August values near 31°C and elevated rainfall (above-average totals this month) further suppressing peaks. The market’s concentration on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C align with the expected balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression. Updated model runs or IMD briefings in the next 24-48 hours could shift odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon conditions are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of August 30.** Active southwest monsoon flow is delivering widespread cloud cover, high humidity (often 75-90%), and scattered thundershowers or rain spells, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and numerical models (including GFS/ECMWF consensus) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 60%+ chance of rain or thunderstorms on the 30th, supporting daytime highs clustered around 30-32°C rather than the mid-30s seen on drier days earlier in August.
Recent observations reinforce this pattern: maximum temperatures in the Lucknow region have ranged from 30-34°C in late August amid frequent showers, with normal August values near 31°C and elevated rainfall (above-average totals this month) further suppressing peaks. The market’s concentration on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C align with the expected balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression. Updated model runs or IMD briefings in the next 24-48 hours could shift odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon conditions are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of August 30.** Active southwest monsoon flow is delivering widespread cloud cover, high humidity (often 75-90%), and scattered thundershowers or rain spells, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and numerical models (including GFS/ECMWF consensus) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 60%+ chance of rain or thunderstorms on the 30th, supporting daytime highs clustered around 30-32°C rather than the mid-30s seen on drier days earlier in August. Recent observations reinforce this pattern: maximum temperatures in the Lucknow region have ranged from 30-34°C in late August amid frequent showers, with normal August values near 31°C and elevated rainfall (above-average totals this month) further suppressing peaks. The market’s concentration on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes reflects this consensus, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C align with the expected balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression. Updated model runs or IMD briefings in the next 24-48 hours could shift odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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