PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 point to daytime highs of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of rain, aligning with trader consensus favoring 33°C as the modal outcome. The southwest monsoon’s onset introduces increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically moderate peak temperatures relative to pre-monsoon peaks, while regional climatology places June averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent observations show limited day-to-day variability, supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 32–34°C range, though timing of convective activity introduces residual forecast uncertainty that could shift realized maxima by 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on June 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 3.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
45%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 22%
31°C 3.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$450 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$211 Обс.
1%
30°C
$150 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$482 Обс.
4%
32°C
$167 Обс.
27%
33°C
$152 Обс.
45%
34°C
$799 Обс.
22%
35°C
$415 Обс.
3%
36°C
$138 Обс.
1%
37°C
$93 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 point to daytime highs of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of rain, aligning with trader consensus favoring 33°C as the modal outcome. The southwest monsoon’s onset introduces increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically moderate peak temperatures relative to pre-monsoon peaks, while regional climatology places June averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent observations show limited day-to-day variability, supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 32–34°C range, though timing of convective activity introduces residual forecast uncertainty that could shift realized maxima by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,081Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 point to daytime highs of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of rain, aligning with trader consensus favoring 33°C as the modal outcome. The southwest monsoon’s onset introduces increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically moderate peak temperatures relative to pre-monsoon peaks, while regional climatology places June averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent observations show limited day-to-day variability, supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 32–34°C range, though timing of convective activity introduces residual forecast uncertainty that could shift realized maxima by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,081Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 15 point to daytime highs of 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of rain, aligning with trader consensus favoring 33°C as the modal outcome. The southwest monsoon’s onset introduces increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically moderate peak temperatures relative to pre-monsoon peaks, while regional climatology places June averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent observations show limited day-to-day variability, supporting elevated implied probabilities for the 32–34°C range, though timing of convective activity introduces residual forecast uncertainty that could shift realized maxima by 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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