Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 Обс.
$30,051 Обс.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 Обс.
$30,051 Обс.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,650 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,730 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,134 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,515 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,397 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,790 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,668 Обс.
No
21°C
$9,095 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,213 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,659 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$6,200 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,051Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$30,051Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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