Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Italian Meteorological Service converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley that limits strong insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 20–23°C, where afternoon peaks rarely exceed 22°C without pronounced warm advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping the 22°C outcome at low implied probability while rendering warmer thresholds statistically remote. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Milano Linate Airport, with real-time surface observations through midday reinforcing the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 97.8%
22°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$37,255 Обс.
$37,255 Обс.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
98%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.8%
22°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$37,255 Обс.
$37,255 Обс.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$1,415 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$482 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,526 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,575 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$5,942 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$6,858 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$4,678 Обс.
98%
22°C
$5,205 Обс.
2%
23°C
$4,184 Обс.
1%
24°C
$2,778 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,974 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Italian Meteorological Service converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley that limits strong insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 20–23°C, where afternoon peaks rarely exceed 22°C without pronounced warm advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping the 22°C outcome at low implied probability while rendering warmer thresholds statistically remote. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Milano Linate Airport, with real-time surface observations through midday reinforcing the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,255Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Italian Meteorological Service converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley that limits strong insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 20–23°C, where afternoon peaks rarely exceed 22°C without pronounced warm advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping the 22°C outcome at low implied probability while rendering warmer thresholds statistically remote. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Milano Linate Airport, with real-time surface observations through midday reinforcing the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$37,255Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Italian Meteorological Service converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Milan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley that limits strong insolation and vertical mixing. This aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 20–23°C, where afternoon peaks rarely exceed 22°C without pronounced warm advection. Recent model runs show minimal spread, keeping the 22°C outcome at low implied probability while rendering warmer thresholds statistically remote. Final resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Milano Linate Airport, with real-time surface observations through midday reinforcing the current trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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