Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies point to a maximum temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-May spring warming patterns support this level, consistent with historical baselines and ensemble model runs showing minimal deviation. Key variables such as wind direction and cloud cover remain aligned with these projections. Only an abrupt shift in local atmospheric circulation or unseasonal heat advection could realistically push readings higher before the close of the observation period, though present data indicate low probability of such changes.