Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 80%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.7%
19°C <1%
$92,042 Обс.
$92,042 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
80%
17°C
20%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 80%
17°C 20%
18°C 1.7%
19°C <1%
$92,042 Обс.
$92,042 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
80%
17°C
20%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and the ECMWF show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate northwesterly flow and limited solar heating. This consensus drives the 79% market-implied probability for 16°C, while the 17°C outcome sits at 17.5% amid minor model spread on cloud cover. Typical mid-May climatology near 19°C provides context, yet current observations reflect cooler Atlantic air advection that has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders watch the next model cycle for any rapid warming signals before resolution criteria based on official station readings are finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання