Recent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 92%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,750 Обс.
$100,750 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
92%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 92%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,750 Обс.
$100,750 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
92%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання