Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 97.6%
17°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,351 Обс.
$121,351 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.6%
17°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,351 Обс.
$121,351 Обс.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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