**Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August are keeping forecast highs in Tel Aviv near the seasonal average of 31–32°C for August 5, 2026.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (including those referenced by AccuWeather) project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under strong solar insolation moderated by the Mediterranean Sea’s influence and coastal breezes. These conditions produce modest surface heating without significant warm-air advection or enhanced subsidence that would push temperatures higher. Historical climatology supports this range, with August daily highs averaging 31–32°C and rarely exceeding 34°C absent extreme events. Recent model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, reinforcing the 33°C outcome (67% implied probability) as the consensus while leaving modest room for 32°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will confirm resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
$30,427 Обс.
$30,427 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
30%
33°C
65%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 30%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
$30,427 Обс.
$30,427 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$566 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,383 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$599 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,551 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$5,917 Обс.
30%
33°C
$7,023 Обс.
65%
34°C
$6,528 Обс.
7%
35°C
$1,529 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$1,136 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$425 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,770 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August are keeping forecast highs in Tel Aviv near the seasonal average of 31–32°C for August 5, 2026.**
Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (including those referenced by AccuWeather) project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under strong solar insolation moderated by the Mediterranean Sea’s influence and coastal breezes. These conditions produce modest surface heating without significant warm-air advection or enhanced subsidence that would push temperatures higher. Historical climatology supports this range, with August daily highs averaging 31–32°C and rarely exceeding 34°C absent extreme events.
Recent model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, reinforcing the 33°C outcome (67% implied probability) as the consensus while leaving modest room for 32°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,427Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August are keeping forecast highs in Tel Aviv near the seasonal average of 31–32°C for August 5, 2026.**
Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (including those referenced by AccuWeather) project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under strong solar insolation moderated by the Mediterranean Sea’s influence and coastal breezes. These conditions produce modest surface heating without significant warm-air advection or enhanced subsidence that would push temperatures higher. Historical climatology supports this range, with August daily highs averaging 31–32°C and rarely exceeding 34°C absent extreme events.
Recent model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, reinforcing the 33°C outcome (67% implied probability) as the consensus while leaving modest room for 32°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,427Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of early August are keeping forecast highs in Tel Aviv near the seasonal average of 31–32°C for August 5, 2026.** Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (including those referenced by AccuWeather) project a daytime maximum of 32–33°C under strong solar insolation moderated by the Mediterranean Sea’s influence and coastal breezes. These conditions produce modest surface heating without significant warm-air advection or enhanced subsidence that would push temperatures higher. Historical climatology supports this range, with August daily highs averaging 31–32°C and rarely exceeding 34°C absent extreme events. Recent model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, reinforcing the 33°C outcome (67% implied probability) as the consensus while leaving modest room for 32°C. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final model updates will confirm resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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