Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,879 Обс.
$88,879 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,879 Обс.
$88,879 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$819 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$10,583 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$19,740 Обс.
100%
29°C
$11,062 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$88,879Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$88,879Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts converge on a maximum temperature of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station for May 17, underpinned by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and enhanced afternoon solar heating beneath mostly clear skies. This alignment has produced the market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 28 °C, as traders incorporate the latest model runs and the short window before the daily high is officially recorded. Minor revisions remain possible if unexpected cloud cover or shifts in the steering flow alter afternoon temperatures, yet current observational trends and climatological norms for mid-May in Tokyo support the prevailing consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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