Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Обс.
$88,867 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 Обс.
$88,867 Обс.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,893 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$819 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,290 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$8,445 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$7,219 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$10,417 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$10,583 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$19,728 Обс.
100%
29°C
$11,061 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$88,867Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$88,867Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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