Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
25°C 34%
26°C 33.1%
27°C or higher 20.8%
24°C 9%
$37,111 Обс.
$37,111 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C or higher
21%
25°C 34%
26°C 33.1%
27°C or higher 20.8%
24°C 9%
$37,111 Обс.
$37,111 Обс.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$6,062 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,768 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,084 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,435 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,580 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,210 Обс.
1%
23°C
$3,316 Обс.
1%
24°C
$2,781 Обс.
9%
25°C
$2,764 Обс.
34%
26°C
$2,899 Обс.
33%
27°C or higher
$5,259 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,111Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$37,111Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend across Toronto on May 17 driven by southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near the 24–26 °C range. This atmospheric setup, marked by warm-air advection and strong solar heating, underpins the market-implied odds that cluster tightly around 25 °C at 36.5 percent and 26 °C at 31.4 percent. Minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak toward 27 °C or hold it at 24 °C, introducing the observed uncertainty among traders. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Pearson Airport throughout the afternoon will clarify the final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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