Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 Обс.
$63,387 Обс.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 Обс.
$63,387 Обс.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
$2,925 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,385 Обс.
No
17°C
$3,204 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,071 Обс.
No
19°C
$9,954 Обс.
No
20°C
$9,312 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$7,834 Обс.
No
22°C
$6,803 Обс.
No
23°C
$9,453 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,234 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$3,212 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$63,387Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$63,387Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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