Current MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 19, closely aligned with the market's leading 36% implied probability and the region's typical mid-autumn climatology of 13–15°C highs. Moderate southerly to southeasterly flow combined with persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar heating and keep readings near the long-term seasonal average, while ensemble guidance from global models shows only modest spread toward a possible 15°C peak if winds ease or skies clear briefly. Traders are therefore balancing these stable baseline conditions against the small but realistic chance of slight warming or cooling depending on the final 48-hour model updates. Official observations from Wellington International Airport will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
14°C 39%
15°C 34%
13°C 12%
16°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
38%
15°C
34%
16°C
11%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 39%
15°C 34%
13°C 12%
16°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
$407 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$120 Обс.
1%
11°C
$35 Обс.
3%
12°C
$19 Обс.
3%
13°C
$266 Обс.
12%
14°C
$246 Обс.
38%
15°C
$83 Обс.
34%
16°C
$30 Обс.
11%
17°C
$132 Обс.
4%
18°C or higher
$176 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 19, closely aligned with the market's leading 36% implied probability and the region's typical mid-autumn climatology of 13–15°C highs. Moderate southerly to southeasterly flow combined with persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar heating and keep readings near the long-term seasonal average, while ensemble guidance from global models shows only modest spread toward a possible 15°C peak if winds ease or skies clear briefly. Traders are therefore balancing these stable baseline conditions against the small but realistic chance of slight warming or cooling depending on the final 48-hour model updates. Official observations from Wellington International Airport will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,301Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 19, closely aligned with the market's leading 36% implied probability and the region's typical mid-autumn climatology of 13–15°C highs. Moderate southerly to southeasterly flow combined with persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar heating and keep readings near the long-term seasonal average, while ensemble guidance from global models shows only modest spread toward a possible 15°C peak if winds ease or skies clear briefly. Traders are therefore balancing these stable baseline conditions against the small but realistic chance of slight warming or cooling depending on the final 48-hour model updates. Official observations from Wellington International Airport will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,301Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 14°C on May 19, closely aligned with the market's leading 36% implied probability and the region's typical mid-autumn climatology of 13–15°C highs. Moderate southerly to southeasterly flow combined with persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar heating and keep readings near the long-term seasonal average, while ensemble guidance from global models shows only modest spread toward a possible 15°C peak if winds ease or skies clear briefly. Traders are therefore balancing these stable baseline conditions against the small but realistic chance of slight warming or cooling depending on the final 48-hour model updates. Official observations from Wellington International Airport will resolve the market based on the recorded daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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