Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 74%
29°C 26%
30°C 2.6%
31°C <1%
$45,994 Обс.
$45,994 Обс.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
68%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 74%
29°C 26%
30°C 2.6%
31°C <1%
$45,994 Обс.
$45,994 Обс.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$14,131 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$4,892 Обс.
68%
29°C
$1,839 Обс.
26%
30°C
$2,440 Обс.
3%
31°C
$3,146 Обс.
1%
32°C
$5,888 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,610 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,354 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,994Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$45,994Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS show a peak temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while partial cloud cover and light rain suppress further rises. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs range from 26–29°C, and recent daily observations have consistently registered maxima near this threshold. Afternoon convective activity and humidity levels introduce modest uncertainty that could nudge readings to 29°C, explaining the secondary market positioning there, while conditions remain far below thresholds for 30°C or higher outcomes. Updated model runs later today will refine the final resolution based on official airport measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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