The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Пак Чанде» з 95%, далі «Ю Чон-бок» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» згенерував $2.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 17, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» — «Пак Чанде» з 95%. Наступний — «Ю Чон-бок» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $2.6 million торгового обсягу на «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 95¢ для «Пак Чанде» на ринку «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 95%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 95¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 5¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» запланований до вирішення приблизно Jun 3, 2026. Торгівля залишатиметься відкритою, а шанси продовжуватимуть змінюватися з появою нової інформації до цієї дати.
Ринок «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону» має зростаюча дискусія з 7 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Переможець виборів мера Інчхону». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання