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Політика·Первинні

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for KY-06 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Ralph Alvarado 97.6%

Gavin Solomon 4.4%

Adam Perez Arquette 4.0%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Polymarket

$24,419 Обс.

Ralph Alvarado 97.6%

Gavin Solomon 4.4%

Adam Perez Arquette 4.0%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Polymarket

$24,419 Обс.

Ralph Alvarado

$11,095 Обс.

90%

Gavin Solomon

$1,604 Обс.

4%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,792 Обс.

4%

Greg Plucinski

$1,055 Обс.

1%

Ryan Dotson

$8,873 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary just five days away on May 19, trader consensus gives former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado a commanding 94.5% implied probability of winning the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid, reflecting his strong polling lead, fundraising dominance, and high-profile endorsements. A May 4-7 1892 Polling survey showed Alvarado at 38% among likely voters, far ahead of Ryan Dotson (15%) and Greg Plucinski (8%), bolstered by President Trump's May 1 endorsement and backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and GOPAC Election Fund. Challengers' internal polls have not swayed markets amid fragmented opposition. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could challenge this positioning, though barriers remain high.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$24,419
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary just five days away on May 19, trader consensus gives former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado a commanding 94.5% implied probability of winning the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid, reflecting his strong polling lead, fundraising dominance, and high-profile endorsements. A May 4-7 1892 Polling survey showed Alvarado at 38% among likely voters, far ahead of Ryan Dotson (15%) and Greg Plucinski (8%), bolstered by President Trump's May 1 endorsement and backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and GOPAC Election Fund. Challengers' internal polls have not swayed markets amid fragmented opposition. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts could challenge this positioning, though barriers remain high.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$24,419
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ralph Alvarado» з 90%, далі «Gavin Solomon» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $24.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» — «Ralph Alvarado» з 90%. Наступний — «Gavin Solomon» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.