Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and PredictWind point to overnight lows of 11–14°C for Cape Town on August 26 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with typical late-winter radiative cooling in the region. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11°C because traders weigh the potential for stronger surface cooling if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, allowing greater longwave radiation loss, versus slightly higher readings if mixing or a brief wind shift occurs. Model consensus remains moderate on exact minima due to small differences in boundary-layer forecasts, with resolution hinging on official station observations of the calendar-day low. Updated runs and real-time data through the overnight period will refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
18°C or higher 53%
15°C 49%
14°C 38%
9°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
23%
9°C
31%
10°C
30%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
24%
14°C
38%
15°C
49%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
53%
18°C or higher 53%
15°C 49%
14°C 38%
9°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$1,476 Обс.
23%
9°C
$0 Обс.
31%
10°C
$0 Обс.
30%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
25%
13°C
$0 Обс.
24%
14°C
$76 Обс.
38%
15°C
$5 Обс.
49%
16°C
$135 Обс.
13%
17°C
$135 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$135 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and PredictWind point to overnight lows of 11–14°C for Cape Town on August 26 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with typical late-winter radiative cooling in the region. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11°C because traders weigh the potential for stronger surface cooling if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, allowing greater longwave radiation loss, versus slightly higher readings if mixing or a brief wind shift occurs. Model consensus remains moderate on exact minima due to small differences in boundary-layer forecasts, with resolution hinging on official station observations of the calendar-day low. Updated runs and real-time data through the overnight period will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,962Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and PredictWind point to overnight lows of 11–14°C for Cape Town on August 26 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with typical late-winter radiative cooling in the region. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11°C because traders weigh the potential for stronger surface cooling if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, allowing greater longwave radiation loss, versus slightly higher readings if mixing or a brief wind shift occurs. Model consensus remains moderate on exact minima due to small differences in boundary-layer forecasts, with resolution hinging on official station observations of the calendar-day low. Updated runs and real-time data through the overnight period will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,962Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and PredictWind point to overnight lows of 11–14°C for Cape Town on August 26 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with typical late-winter radiative cooling in the region. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 9–11°C because traders weigh the potential for stronger surface cooling if winds remain calm and cloud cover stays minimal, allowing greater longwave radiation loss, versus slightly higher readings if mixing or a brief wind shift occurs. Model consensus remains moderate on exact minima due to small differences in boundary-layer forecasts, with resolution hinging on official station observations of the calendar-day low. Updated runs and real-time data through the overnight period will refine the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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