Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 1?
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 Обс.
$725 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 Обс.
$725 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
$160 Обс.
No
13°C
$160 Обс.
No
14°C
$5 Обс.
No
15°C
$15 Обс.
No
16°C
$0 Обс.
No
17°C
$0 Обс.
No
18°C
$0 Обс.
No
19°C
$230 Обс.
Yes
20°C
$45 Обс.
No
21°C
$55 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$55 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$725Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$725Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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