**Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on August 22 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 53% implied probability and the 78-79°F range at 24.5%.** Persistent warmth stems from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and typical late-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show Miami minimums running 2–4°F above the 78°F climatological average, including a 82°F low just days earlier, reinforcing trader expectations for a similarly mild night. Model consensus favors light winds and scattered clouds or showers that further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add a consistent warming bias. Upcoming National Hurricane Center or local forecast updates could shift odds if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected moisture surge develops, but current data keep probabilities concentrated near 80°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 22?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$25 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$25 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$25 Обс.
4%
74-75°F
$25 Обс.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
27%
80-81°F
$230 Обс.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
10%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$25 Обс.
2%
88°F or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on August 22 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 53% implied probability and the 78-79°F range at 24.5%.**
Persistent warmth stems from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and typical late-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show Miami minimums running 2–4°F above the 78°F climatological average, including a 82°F low just days earlier, reinforcing trader expectations for a similarly mild night. Model consensus favors light winds and scattered clouds or showers that further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add a consistent warming bias. Upcoming National Hurricane Center or local forecast updates could shift odds if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected moisture surge develops, but current data keep probabilities concentrated near 80°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$360Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on August 22 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 53% implied probability and the 78-79°F range at 24.5%.**
Persistent warmth stems from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and typical late-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show Miami minimums running 2–4°F above the 78°F climatological average, including a 82°F low just days earlier, reinforcing trader expectations for a similarly mild night. Model consensus favors light winds and scattered clouds or showers that further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add a consistent warming bias. Upcoming National Hurricane Center or local forecast updates could shift odds if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected moisture surge develops, but current data keep probabilities concentrated near 80°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$360Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows on August 22 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 53% implied probability and the 78-79°F range at 24.5%.** Persistent warmth stems from a strong subtropical high-pressure system, elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, and typical late-summer humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show Miami minimums running 2–4°F above the 78°F climatological average, including a 82°F low just days earlier, reinforcing trader expectations for a similarly mild night. Model consensus favors light winds and scattered clouds or showers that further suppress temperature drops, while urban heat-island effects in the metro area add a consistent warming bias. Upcoming National Hurricane Center or local forecast updates could shift odds if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected moisture surge develops, but current data keep probabilities concentrated near 80°F.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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