**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$391 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$957 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$344 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$181 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$965 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$423 Обс.
49%
78-79°F
$1,300 Обс.
49%
80-81°F
$1,516 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,010 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$457 Обс.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,031 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,574Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,574Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical humidity and typical early-August moisture limit overnight radiational cooling in Miami, positioning trader-implied probabilities strongly toward 76–79 °F lows.** National Weather Service normals list an 78 °F minimum for August 5, while AccuWeather and long-range guidance project overnight readings of 78–81 °F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. High dew points and sea-breeze convergence sustain cloud cover that restricts temperature drops, consistent with the recent record-warm July pattern that maintained elevated moisture. Ensemble models show low likelihood of drier, clearer air allowing readings into the mid-70s or below, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 76–77 °F (53.5 %) and 78–79 °F (40.5 %). Updated NHC/NOAA model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання