Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 13?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$16,904 Обс.
$16,904 Обс.
Jun 13, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$16,904 Обс.
$16,904 Обс.
Jun 13, 2026
69°F or below
$704 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$1,964 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$681 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$1,363 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$1,501 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$2,851 Обс.
Yes
80-81°F
$2,033 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$2,167 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$1,896 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$1,293 Обс.
No
88°F or higher
$453 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,904Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,904Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida limited overnight radiative cooling and sustained high humidity, anchoring Miami’s June 13 low at the observed 78 °F minimum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. Light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies aligned with typical mid-June climatology, keeping readings in the upper 70s to low 80s range with no frontal passages or clear-sky conditions to enhance cooling. Traders assigned 100 % implied probability to the 78-79 °F band once model consensus and official guidance confirmed this outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around historical normals. A realistic challenge would have required an unexpected dry-air intrusion or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies, neither of which materialized in the final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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