Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,024 Обс.
$16,024 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
93%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,024 Обс.
$16,024 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$1,115 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$324 Обс.
2%
18°C
$823 Обс.
4%
19°C
$3,429 Обс.
6%
20°C
$1,972 Обс.
93%
21°C
$4,712 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,200 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$659 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$416 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,024Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,024Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather observations and short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate that temperatures in Paris have remained at or above 20°C through the early hours of August 5, 2026, with minimal overnight cooling under stable high-pressure conditions and warm southerly flow. This has produced a market-implied probability exceeding 90% for a daily minimum of exactly 20°C, reflecting the consensus of real-time data showing the lowest readings so far clustered near that threshold. Typical August nocturnal minima in the region hover near 15–17°C, but recent model runs and surface analyses support limited radiative cooling tonight due to cloud cover and humidity. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or clearer skies promoting stronger radiative heat loss, though such shifts appear unlikely given the current synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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